How can information base on past transactions be used to predict future cash flows?
Information on past transactions can be used to identify important trends that, if continued, provide information about future performance. If a reasonable correlation exists between past and future performance, predictions about future earnings and cash flows can be made. For example, a loan analyst can develop a prediction of future performance by estimating the rate of growth of past income over the past several periods and project this into the next period. Additional information about current economic and industry factors can be used to adjust the trend rate based on historical information.
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